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Hello again,
An unsettled weekend ahead and I am pondering the threat of some colder weather arriving next week.
If you friends wish to subscribe to receive this forecast they just need to email sailingweather-subscribe@weatherweb.net
Best wishes,
Simon
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST
Issued: 1000 Thursday 28th February 2008
FRIDAY:
Low pressure to the northwest of Scotland today, with fronts sweeping eastwards. It will be a windy day through all areas, with severe gales affecting many northern parts.
A fair start to the day over eastern parts of England with a few bright spells. Cloud thickening quickly from the west, with rain affecting most of Scotland, western England, Wales and Ireland right from early morning. The rain becomes heavy in the afternoon, especially over western facing coasts and hills. Very windy here as well.
The heavier rain arrives in central and southern England in the late afternoon or early evening, when at the same time it clears from Scotland.
However, the clearing rain in the north is followed by heavy showers, with a risk of hail and thunder.
Winds will be SW 15-20kt (F5-F6) ahead of the fronts, becoming SW 25-35kt (F6-F8) from the west, then turning W-NW 25-35kt (F6-F8) behind the cold front over Scotland as it clears south in the afternoon. However winds could gust in excess of 50kt (F10) over the north in the afternoon.
SATURDAY:
The UK is �between fronts� on Saturday. This not lasting long though as the warm front to the west is going to be moving quickly eastwards through the afternoon, probably through Ireland and into southwest England by the evening.
There will be some showers for the north and northeast of Scotland. Some showers could affect western Scotland in the morning too, although tending to fade in the afternoon.
An occasional shower over northern England, again these tending to fade. Elsewhere it should be dry with good sunny spells. Cloud is going to be increasing from the west in the afternoon, making the sunshine hazy.
Cloud and periods of rain crossing Ireland, this reaching southwest England by the evening.
Winds will be mainly W 15-25kt (F5-F6) over the southern half of the country, although the winds backing and easing ahead of the warm front. More WNW 20-30kt (F6-F7) over northern England and Scotland, perhaps to 35kt (f8) in northeast Scotland at first, but these slowly easing.
SUNDAY:
Lower confidence I the forecast for Sunday, and some subtle differences between the UKMO and GFS forecasting models. Both agree with low pressure being west of Scotland, with a moist west to southwest flow through most areas.
I think that what is likely to happen is that it will be generally cloudy for many places. There will be outbreaks of rain, most across western coasts and hills, and generally light. There could be some more persistent rain for a time over southern England.
The afternoon probably becomes brighter, although the extent of this is unsure.
Winds will be mainly from the SW at 15-20kt (F5) mainly SW 10-15kt (F3-F4) over parts of Scotland.
**ends**
Simon Keeling MSc (Appld. Meteorology & Climatology), FRMetS
Weather Consultancy Services
The Weather Centre, 188 Common Road, Wombourne,
Staffordshire, England. WV5 0LT.
Tel: (01902) 895252
http://www.weatherweb.net
http://www.weatherschool.co.uk
http://www.simonkeeling.co.uk
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