BLUEMOMENT

I don’t think I know ‘Mozzy’ yet so no need to defend against & all the ‘Midges’ will be kept away by the ‘big-blow’ on Friday.

.What big blow?

Is it just me or has the inshore forecast become a complete waste of space?

Nick wrote:.What big blow?

Is it just me or has the inshore forecast become a complete waste of space?

Whatcha mean ' become' ?

We had 30kts south of Kerrera on saturday afternoon.

Nick wrote: Is it just me or has the inshore forecast become a complete waste of space?

My impression is that it's generally pretty good for the first twelve hours, ok-ish as a general guide for the next twelve and a complete work of fiction for the day after that. And that's for the "Mull of Galloway to Mull of Kintyre" bit, which is a relatively small area. The Irish Sea forecast is useless for the Solway, although the Isle of Man one can be OK.

I remain unconvinced, however, by those who seek to sell courses which will allegedly enable me, based on a couple of dozen observations, to produce a better forecast than the Met Office can do with a supercomputer and thousand of data points.

ubergeekian wrote:I remain unconvinced, however, by those who seek to sell courses which will allegedly enable me, based on a couple of dozen observations, to produce a better forecast than the Met Office can do with a supercomputer and thousand of data points.

It may be a little known fact, but, the Met Office are in Exeter; that's a small town in Devon that's almost as far as you can get from the Mull. Their most advanced forecasting technique is to open their window, observe and report. This proven technology is 75% accurate. You will see, therefore, where it falls down?